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Monday, May 21, 2007

The Firefly/Serenity Series Revivifies Science Fiction Story-Telling in the New Millenium

21 May 2007



As I am not a television watcher, the Firefly/Serenity Series had slipped by under my radar for the past 3-4 years. Over the past week, my wife Susan and I have been ending our days with episodes from the ephemeral 2002-03 Firefly Television series. My confidence that our era can still tell science fiction stories has been restored, and special credit goes to
Joss Whedon, the series' creator, for this accomplishment!

Firefly tells the story of a ragtag band of space voyageurs, and in this sense, owes its genesis in large part to the initial Star Wars series (to which Whedon attributes much of his inspiration). However, Firefly accomplishes a subtlety of execution which is seldom encountered in dramatized science fiction. Rather than say more here, let me simply share with you
my Amazon.ca reviews for both Firefly (the televised series) and Serenity (the culminating cinematic episode).

Firefly - Incredible TV Fare


I am not a television watcher, and so it took me over 3 years after cancellation to discover this incredible television science fiction series. Yes, the episodes are 43 minutes in length, and thus you know that resolution is drawing near as the time winds down with each episode. But this is science fiction for television as I had never imagined it.

Firefly is classic science fiction story-telling first, and television second.

What sticks with me? When River steps barefoot onto the metal deck connecting two ships in space, I received a sensory impression of life in space as it might someday be lived. Warm give-and-take discussion over the plain wooden table in the ship's galley is only one more of perhaps hundreds of subtle touches that evoke the possibility of life in this imagined future world (set arbitrarily 500 years away).


Clearly the fiction outweighs the science (quantum gravity has clearly been solved in the "Out of Gas" episode). And there is plenty of action for those who nod off at cognitive content. But this is a creditable contribution to dramatized science fiction. The movie sequel Serenity has just been identified in a
BBC poll as the best science fiction movie overall, and - at least for our era - that is certainly the case.

Move over Star Wars. This series is superior even to the original Star Wars episodes. I am not a connoisseur of televised science fiction, but it is hard to imagine how this program could be topped.


Serenity Now the Best Science Fiction Film (BBC Poll)

The
BBC has just rated Serenity the best science fiction film, edging out the original Star Wars.


Why? To start, Joss Whedon has an uncannily clear vision of what he is doing. Second, he communicates this vision to his actors, who communicate it to us. Third - this film is true science fiction.

That is, it establishes an imaginable future, and illustrates how real people might live in such a future. This is not an action or suspense film in disguise. It is actually about how people might live under an imaginable set of future circumstances.


The most brilliant cinematic touches are those that make the future real, and this includes taking time to focus the camera and the story on day to day life between dramatic events. Yes, there is plenty of action for the amygdala-driven viewer, but there is also plenty of stimulus for the prefrontal cortex - for those who find thinking as well as action interesting. Classic science fiction returns to the screen - and this as the Star Wars franchise seems to be devolving and unwinding.


Perhaps with enough DVD sales, there could be a Serenity II. Buy this disc (the
two-disc special edition is being released August 21, 2007).


By the way, donations to the Firefly Fan site may be made here. You can vote for Firefly here, where Firefly happens to be running second as "best television show of all time," as well as on the already-mentioned BBC poll (still open as of this posting) where Serenity is currently rated the best science fiction movie.

Tuesday, May 15, 2007

An Essay on Retribalization in the Post-Subsistence Age

15 May 2007

It has now been many decades since
Marshall McLuhan, the Canadian apostle of television-based social change, postulated, among other things, that the “cool” electronic media – at that time represented primarily by television – were exerting a “retribalizing” influence upon post-industrial civil society.


McLuhan’s ideas are complex and often vague, and he addressed issues of far-reaching cultural significance. Additionally, several decades have passed, and the internet has replaced television as the “cool” electronic medium of our era. Nonetheless, broad culturally-related behavioural changes seem to be evident in our population at large, and it may be worthwhile to consider whether the concept of retribalization sheds some light on how our world is changing.

Let us begin by laying down some
fundamental concepts. Modern humans have walked the planet for a scant 2 million years, and during almost all of that period, our forebears lived a tribal and subsistence-based way of life. About 5000 years ago, the development of agricultural technology enabled the first gathering of peoples into cities, and this era is generally referred to as the rise of civilization, though I prefer the term civil culture, which refers to the cultural developments that occur when humans engage in a trade-based lifestyle in urban centres.

With the rise of civil culture, the influence of tribal culture diminished, and this was particularly true during the interlinked historical eras of imperialism and industrialization.

Until recently, individuals inhabiting civil cultures regarded themselves as unquestionably superior to individuals living within tribal cultures.

A jolting reminder of this smug worldview was afforded me this week when I watched the 51-year-old John Wayne movie,
The Searchers – truly a movie classic (though now strikingly dated) and the original inspiration for Jonathan Lethem's novel, Girl in Landscape, about which I have blogged earlier.

In a “making of” featurette, Natalie Wood conversed with the self-confident narrator, and the two broached the topic of cultural contrasts while discussing the role of the indigenous Navajo people in the making of the film. Without blinking an eye, the two conversants suggested that the Navajo had historically lived a “savage” lifestyle, but had now abandoned this way of life for a peaceful and subsistence-based, and thus still “primitive,” lifestyle.

I could say much more, but what most struck me about this self-satisfied synopsis of recent history from the vantage point of 1956 is the fact that, in my view, the greater change over the subsequent 50 years has not been the continued “advance” of the indigenous peoples (in this case the Navajo), but in fact the retribalization of the dominant culture – and I think that this is an outcome that neither the narrator nor Ms. Wood ever envisioned.

In both the historical and anthropological contexts, we tend to think of tribal lifestyles solely in terms of subsistence, and for the most part, the age of subsistence has passed, at least in the northern hemisphere.

How then can our society have retribalized over the past 50 years?

Interestingly, if Mr. McLuhan is correct, even the making of films, such as The Searchers, might in fact play a role in this process – and this further compounds the irony of my initial observation.

In brief, Mr. McLuhan held that
tribal culture is characterized by ways of life based on interpersonal speech, story-telling, participatory processes, integrating and decentralized social structures, mythic views of the world, village-based lifestyles, and – in particular – tribal identities.

In contrast, the subsequent “mechanical age” was characterized by hierarchical structures, top-down communication, and rule-governed social behavioural structures, creating a way of life that was individualistic, fragmented, nationalistic, centralized, specialized and urbanized.

Perhaps the height of civil culture is represented in the rise of the British Empire in the 19th century. In addition to national pride, this era was characterized by clearly-defined and often exacting social rules and structures, highly-refined and universally-valued basic skill sets (here I would focus in particular on the primacy of literacy and literate communication), and a clearly-delineated and consensually accepted worldview as to the nature of individual and social progress based on rationality and technological mastery of the environment.

How far we have come in our modern era from the consensual views and hierarchically-structured norms of the Victorian Age.

Many of us who are products of the age of text-based literacy have lamented the breathtaking decline in universal literacy that quite clearly characterizes our current era. One need only spend an afternoon in the attic with the correspondence of one's grandparents to observe that literacy in particular has crumbled in response to the onslaught of the age of electronic media.

And this simple observation gives rise to the instinct of curiosity as to what else might be taking place....

If McLuhan is correct, that electronic media reshape our personal and cultural identities, then we have a starting point for thinking about the disorienting global and cultural crosscurrents that typify our fragmented era.

At this point, I would like to present further – though admittedly inchoate evidence – that a very fundamental and correspondingly radical process of change is afoot.

Picasso represented these changes in his introduction of cubism into the world of visual art, and as an exhibit, I present his classic work (a replica of which graced the walls of our family’s summer cabin on the James River of Missouri during my childhood), Les Demoiselles D’Avignon.

The shattered perspectives in Picasso’s paintings offer evidence that our ability to perceive the world has somehow become radically disunified, and in an obviously disturbing way. Picasso’s best-known work, Guernica, certainly illustrates this point more profoundly still.

The literary works of the existentialists, emerging in the 19th and early 20th centuries, anticipated similar developments. Here I am thinking of such writers as Sartre, Camus and Dostoevsky, whose novels consumed my attention and interest during my high school years. One cannot read such works without the sense that our personal certainties have become profoundly disrupted by the incomprehensible diversity and disorder of broad human experience.


Ivan Illich, with whom I was fortunate enough to have spent a weekend almost two decades ago, argued that we should consider returning to a new kind of “subsistence” lifestyle, for the sake not of our economic survival, but of our survival as human beings capable of relationship and collaboration. Illich also shared McLuhan's interest in the human transition from reliance upon oral communication to text-based communication – and beyond that, to electronically-mediated communication (see: ABC: The Alphabetization of the Popular Mind (1988) ISBN 0-86547-291-2).

Can we not easily contrast the profoundly intricate literary accomplishments of Shakespeare with the primitive linguistic formulations that characterize the great mass of entries on blogspot.com, the virtual space that you as my reader and I as the writer of this essay inhabit at the very moment of your reading of this text?

My grandmother told me stories of neighbourly visiting in her early and mid-adult life. Social visiting was highly formalized, and greeting cards – which she collected and shared with me – were exchanged.

Can anyone argue that tribal warfare remains a force against which our sophisticated and technologized military interventions are virtually useless – or that tribalism has unmade the US adventure in Iraq and is rending much of Africa, the Middle East and South Asia as well?

I pass most of the hours of most of my days in conversations with the Ojibway and Cree people of Northwest Ontario. In most cases, the near-ancestors of these individuals lived a classic tribal lifestyle, and a smaller number of my aboriginal clients have been able to describe to me their experiences of subsistence during their own early years, characterized by living in tents, camping at and walking traplines with their parents, and being raised by their extended family as a “non-nuclear” family unit.

I close here following the above potpourri of examples, because I trust that you can afford your own. And I also wish to reflect on what I have learned and observed through my discussions with individuals whose way of life often continues to express the legacy of many millennia of tribal culture.

My work has caused me to become interested in how tribal people think and behave both similarly to and differently than people with European ancestry, and I have grown increasingly curious as to the factors that characterize the thinking of the individuals who have so kindly shared many of their most personal experiences with me.

Please permit me to summarize briefly a few of my observations

For many of my clients, the self is very much a shared as opposed to an individual reality. How others are impacted by every thought and action is not merely an incidental, but a primary concern. This is an example of the workings of a tribally-acquired identity.

Further, the events of the immediate moment and of the present day very often overshadow concerns as to future expectations, aspirations and consequences. This is not a reflection of anomie or of goallessness – far from it – but of the primacy of immediate circumstances, and of one’s high regard for the importance and needs of one’s present companions.

I believe also that for the tribal person, emotional reality tends to supersede the “rational” worldview. "Sense" is not a construct of logical induction or deduction, but of the interplay of the changing and competing emotional realities of those with whom one is engaged in relationship.

The above are meant to be only a few examples, true to Montaigne's spirit in his penning of his original essays as first “attempts” at the formulation of new ideas through their presentation to others in the form of brief texts.

Let me close by clarifying that I do not regard myself as a tribal individual. I am very much a product of the age of literacy and formalism. But I do perceive that I am surrounded by a retribalizing society and I do not denigrate it – rather I seek to understand it.

Many of the modalities of living that typify the world in which I was raised are literally evaporating before my eyes, and I wish to understand how and why that is occurring, and what it means. The concept of retribalization in the post-industrial era seems to me to be the key to reaching that understanding, though I am only in the early stages of doing so.

Let me close by urging the reader to take some time to watch the classic movie, The Searchers, and don't skip the “making-of” featurettes.

Consider the irony that as Ms. Wood and the narrator converse easily from a perspective of their own assumed superiority, their children and their children’s children have probably become much more similar to the tribal people whom they clearly regarded – only 50 years ago – as less-advanced than themselves.

The children and the grandchildren of the worthy Navajo people who aided in making the film have probably changed much less than have the descendants of the film-makers.

It seems to me that it is now the indigenous peoples of the world who must teach most of the rest of us about how to be tribal, rather than we who must teach them about how to be “civilized.”

It is perhaps only those who still remember the tribal ways who possess the capacity to lead us along the path that we are now following. Further, and perhaps radically, I suspect that human survival itself may depend upon the formation and nurturing of such seemingly inverted teaching and learning relationships.

_

Sunday, May 13, 2007

Yet another possible cause of global warming...

14 May 2007

According to the Economist, the Earth’s magnetic field is getting ready to flip (this happens every 500,000 years or so, but very erratically, and it has been ¾ million years since the last flip). The magnetic field is weakening by about 5% a century. This in turn weakens the magnetosphere, which shields the earth from much solar radiation. Thus, increasing solar radiation is reaching the surface of the earth.

The Economist isn't linking this to global warming, but it is an obvious correlate….

The Northern lights will sure look great in Missouri and Saudi Arabia – and ultimately at the (former) south pole…..

Do we then have to rename Antarctica to Arctica??? Does Canada become the True South, strong and free? Will Canadians go north for their winter holidays (my wife Susan excepted, as she likes to go to the Yukon in February)?

Thursday, May 10, 2007

How indebted is the US?

11 May 2007

This time, with the help of Puru Saxena, I can provide more exact information on total US indebtedness.

The total value of the US stock market at the end of 2006 was $20.6 trillion dollars. The value of the total US housing stock was a similar amount. These two amounts (roughly $40 trillion) account approximately for the net worth of Americans (obviously this is a rough calculation, as there is considerable, and growing, international ownership of US assets, and Americans also own international assets).

Here is the problem - total US debt is higher still, at $48 trillion dollars, and it is rising exponentially. That is, you could use the value of the entire US stock market and every residence in the United States to make payments against US debt - and it would not cover the bill.


As we have discussed several times, the US is growing more indebted to the rest of the world at a rate exceeding $2 billion dollars per day, and this approaches $1 trillion per year.

Yes, the liquidity-fuelled economy is booming - but it is global citizens other than Americans (including Canadians) who will derive the ultimate benefit. You could argue that the United States is making the rest of the world rich. It is a dramatic finishing act for the nation which has been the primary driver of the global economy for a century or longer.

But this is the kind of place where things draw to a close, not where they begin - at least for the US economy. So long as the US dollar, now at long-term support, holds its value, the producing nations of the globe will benefit from America's largesse. And for many decades to come (3 decades in the case of long-term treasury bills), Americans will be footing the greatest part of the bill for continuing international economic growth.

Saturday, May 5, 2007

Rethinking the US Dollar Index

5 May 2007

John Doody (the Gold Stock Analyst) has recently taken apart the US Dollar Index (USDX) and put it back together again.

The present USDX is not trade-weighted, and has become increasingly out of proportion to the reality of US trade over the past 24 years. It overweights the Euro Zone by a factor of three (at 57.6%), underweights Canada by almost 50% (at 9.1%), and omits China (0%) entirely.

Mr. Doody has re-calculated the index based on weights available at the Federal Reserve Board website as follows (adjusting the following figures proportionately to make 100%):

Euro area 17.6
Canada 17.5
China 15.1
Mexico 9.6
Japan 9.5
UK 4.5
Korea 3.7
Taiwan 2.5

The two indices were roughly equivalent in 1983, but have since diverged considerably.

Mr. Doody’s recalcualted index peaked in 1985 and 2002 at 139.86, and has presently fallen to 110.85.

This is in contrast to the USDX, which peaked in 1985 at 164.72, but only modestly at 120.9 in 2002, and which is now in the .80 range.

That is, the USDX has lost half its value since 1985, but the trade-weighted dollar index (based on 2006 trade weightings) has lost only 21% of its value since 1985.

Doody is in the camp of the gold bulls, but he is cautioning us to be objective in our evaluation of the declining US dollar. I think he has a valid and important point.

For more information, visit Mr. Doody's website to subscribe to his monthly newsletter.

Friday, May 4, 2007

Macroeconomics for gold investors in one chart

4 May 2007

Gary Tanashian has published a brilliant chart summarizing virtually the entire macroeconomic situation for gold investors in one place. Here it is: